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Gold is expected to gain 1% and Silver 4% this week, marking a fourth straight weekly increase. This rise is driven by improving prospects of a permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which has reduced inflation concerns and lowered expectations of further central bank rate hikes.

Gold rose above $4,850 and silver crossed $80, recovering as investors evaluated prospects of renewed US–Iran negotiations and a potential long-term peace agreement that could ease inflation pressures.

Gold and silver hold their gains amid growing optimism that the US and Iran are moving toward a negotiated resolution to the ongoing conflict, easing concerns over inflation driven by an energy supply shock.

Bullion prices have recovered firmly, supported by cautious diplomatic optimism on the Iran conflict and sustained central bank buying. However, the upside remains capped by fragile ceasefire conditions.

Gold and silver recovered from recent lows following a US-Iran ceasefire brokered by Pakistan. However, the relief is fragile — Markets remain cautious, with analysts warning that the ceasefire has too many unresolved variables to sustain a durable rally. The recovery in Gold and Silver may prove short-lived if tensions re-escalate.

Gold and silver climbed to a near three-week high after President Trump announced a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, with Tehran agreeing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Markets interpreted this as a significant de-escalation, triggering a broad relief rally across risk assets.