Precious Metals slide as Middle East tensions ease

Fundamental News and Triggers

  • Amidst prospects for peace talks between Israel and its neighbours, gold fell 1.5% to touch $2624 (Rs 74900) and Silver fell 5% to touch the low of $30.34 (~Rs 88222).
  • Hezbollah’s assistance for a ceasefire and increasing US Treasury yields further weigh on bullion as demand for safe havens declines.
  • As attention turns to impending US inflation data, unemployment claims, and consumer confidence, traders modify their predictions for a Fed rate decrease.
  • At the end of September, the People’s Bank of China reported holdings of 72.8 million ounces (2,264 tons) of gold, which remained constant. PBoC has gone five months without buying any gold. The PBoC purchased 29 tons of gold in the first four months of this year; only minor acquisitions were made in April. In contrast, 225 tons in total were bought last year. This news also gave negative sentiment in the gold market.

 

Technical Triggers

  • Gold has broken important support of $2650 (~Rs 75400) and is aiming for $2600 (~Rs 73500) next.
  • Silver has broken the important support of $31(~Rs 91500), aiming for $30 (~Rs 87500) next.

 

Support and Resistance

 

Disclaimer: This report contains the author’s opinion, which is not to be construed as investment advice. The author, Directors, and other employees of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The opinions mentioned above are based on information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors other employees and any affiliates of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purposes and are not to be construed as investment advice.

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