Weekly Blogs

Precious Metals caught between Hawks and Hormuz

Weekly Blog

Gold and Silver have been caught between two important events. Firstly, Kevin Warsh’s Fed debut delivered a hawkish shock. And secondly, a US–Iran ceasefire briefly eased gold’s war premium before Geneva talks collapsed and Iran reclosed the Strait of Hormuz.

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War Premium Fades, Rupee Weighs, Physical Demand Holds

Weekly Blog

Gold and Silver faced a week defined by the hawkish Fed-oil-inflation feedback loop suppressing rate-cut expectations, partially offset by yen-driven dollar weakness. MCX prices held relatively firm versus COMEX due to rupee depreciation. Physical demand and central bank buying remain structurally supportive, but near-term direction hinges on Hormuz diplomacy, incoming US payrolls (May 8), and the trajectory of real yields under incoming Fed Chair Warsh.

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