Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move

Fundamental News and Triggers
  • Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.
  • Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.
  • This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.
  • Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.
Technical Triggers
  • Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000).
  • Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $33(~Rs 96700), the next target is $34(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $35(~Rs 103,000).
Support and Resistance

 

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