Precious Metals surges on mounting geopolitical and trade tensions

Fundamental News and Triggers
  • Investors’ reactions to rising trade and geopolitical tensions caused gold to jump nearly 3% and silver to rise 5%. To further sour relations with trading partners, US President Donald Trump threatened to double tariffs on steel and aluminium from 25% to 50% beginning Wednesday.
  • At the same time, tensions between Beijing and Washington grew as Trump accused China of breaking a trade agreement with the US. China responded with accusations of its own, further escalating trade uncertainty worldwide. According to the White House, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to meet later this week, and markets are now anticipating their possible meeting.
  • In the meantime, a Ukrainian drone strike that allegedly destroyed more than 40 Russian aircraft sparked a barrage of missile and drone attacks from Moscow, intensifying the war between Russia and Ukraine. Monday’s negotiations in Istanbul concluded after the two parties met for just over an hour without moving much forward toward a deal.
Technical Triggers
  • Gold prices have broken the range of $3275(~Rs 95000) and $3375(~Rs 96400) on the upside. If this positive momentum continues, we are likely to see the price rise towards $3450 (~Rs 99000).
  • Silver prices ahave broken the one month range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000), next resistance is $35 (~Rs 101,500).
Support and Resistance

 

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