Fundamental News and Triggers
- As investors considered the Federal Reserve’s rate forecast in light of the most recent CPI data, gold prices were circling $3400. Core inflation increased from 2.9% to 3.1% in July, while headline inflation was 2.7%, below the 2.8% prediction.
- Gold’s attractiveness increased as the data allayed worries about tariff-driven inflation and supported anticipations of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in September.
- Furthermore, despite President Trump’s declaration that there would be no tax, Customs and Border Protection shocked markets last week by placing 100-ounce and 1-kilogram gold bars under a customs code that imposes duties.
Technical Triggers
- After achieving the target of $3500 (~Rs 102,000), gold prices have retraced below $3400(~Rs 100,200) level. Prices are expected to consolidate for a while with a bearish bias towards $3350 (~Rs 98500)
- After achieving the target of $38.5 (~Rs 115,000), Silver prices have retraced to $37.5 (~Rs 113,000). Next support is $37(~Rs 111,000), while upside prices are expected to touch $39 (~Rs 115,000) again, if positive momentum continues.
Support and Resistance
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