As a result, the domestic futures contract is currently trading near `26,850/10 gram and has been stuck in a narrow range between `26,750 and `27,100 for about a week now.
A breakout on either side of this range will decide the next leg of move for the contract. Traders can stay out of the market until a clear trade signal emerges. The possibility looks high for the contract to break above `27,100 and move higher in the coming days. The Indian rupee closed on a weak note on Monday — at 64.17 – and is signalling a further fall. A weak currency could help in limiting the downside for the futures contract. The futures contract can sustain higher above `26,750. A break above `27,100 can take the contract higher to `27,650 and then to `28,000.
Traders with high risk appetite can go long. Stop-loss can be kept at `26,650 for the target of `27,450. The bullish outlook will get negated if the contract records a decisive close below `26,750. The next immediate targets are `26,500 and `26,350. It will also keep the contract pressured to test its key supports at `26,000 and `25,750. On the global front, the spot gold ($1,180/ounce) is getting support at $1,170. Though the overall trend is down, an intermediate rise to test the resistances at $1,190 and $1,195 is possible. Such a rise can aid the rise in domestic futures contract prices.
Source: Hindu business line.