Expectation of a rate cut rally starts in precious metals

Fundamental News and Triggers

  • This week, the precious metals have seen significant increases as traders have gradually factored in expectations that the Fed would start lowering interest rates in September with the probability rising over 70%.
  • The Bank of Canada’s rate cut and the expectation of the European Central Bank’s rate cut, which was widely anticipated, increased confidence in the global easing of monetary conditions.
  • However, this time around, lower interest rates—especially in the United States—presented stronger opportunities for investing in precious metals, which drove the rise of gold and silver.

 

Technical Triggers

  • As suggested, if gold prices have strong resistance at $2400 (~Rs 73500), prices are crossed this resistance. Now next target is the previous high of $2450 (~Rs 74500)
  • Silver has formed double top formation around $32.5 (~Rs 96000) on daily charts. Important neckline support is $30 (~Rs 90000), which was broken, but prices didn’t sustain below it, this time. This view is negated as prices trade above $31 (~Rs 92500) and are expected to head higher towards $32 (~Rs 95000) now.

 

Support and Resistance

 

 

Disclaimer: This report contains the author’s opinion, which is not to be construed as investment advice. The author, Directors, and other employees of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The opinions mentioned above are based on information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors other employees and any affiliates of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purposes and are not to be construed as investment advice.

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