Gold consolidates near highs amid trade war fear

Fundamental News and Triggers

  • US President Donald Trump imposed fresh 25% tariffs on most Mexican and Canadian imports on Tuesday, as well as raising penalties on Chinese goods to 20%.
  • Canada declared retaliatory duties on more than $100 billion in US imports, while China imposed tariffs of up to 15% on certain US agricultural exports.
  • In his inaugural address to the US Congress, Trump stated that additional taxes, including “reciprocal tariffs,” would be imposed on April 2, raising the prospect of an all-out trade war.
  • Investors are concerned that Trump’s tariffs would hinder US economic growth and push the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates multiple times before the end of the year.
  • Other factors supporting the non-yielding yellow metal include the potential of an earlier-than-expected interest rate cut by the Fed and unfavourable sentiment towards the US dollar.

 

Technical Triggers

  • Gold Apr Future prices continue its rebound above $2900 (~Rs 85400), with the next resistance to look for $2940 (~Rs 86300) and $2975 (~Rs 87000).
  • Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $33(~Rs 96700), the next target is $34(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $35(~Rs 103,000).

 

Support and Resistance

 

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