Gold heading for worst week since December on rate hike worries

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Gold rate price

Gold edged down on Friday after falling more than one per cent in the previous session, and was on track for its first weekly decline since late January on expectations of a US rate hike in March.
Spot gold dropped 0.2 per cent to $1,232.81 per ounce at 0309 GMT. The metal had its worst session since Dec. 15 on Thursday, when it fell 1.1 per cent to touch a more than one-week low at $1,230.58.
US gold futures rose 0.2 per cent to $1,234.90.

Increasing chances of a rate hike should keep a lid on any gold rallies leading into the March meeting, MKS PAMP Group trader Sam Laughlin said.
“With (US Federal Reserve) President Janet Yellen on the wires tonight, we look to see further weakness across the precious complex should she, as expected, promote the potential for an interest rate increase in March,” Laughlin said.
“Initial support for gold sits around $1,230, while below this we look to the 100 day moving average at $1,210.”
Yellen and Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer BSE 4.69 % are both due to speak later on Friday.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a 44-year low last week, pointing to further tightening of the labor market even as economic growth appears to have remained moderate in the first quarter.

A surge in business and consumer confidence during President Donald Trump’s first weeks in office has helped push the Fed toward its first sustained series of interest rate hikes in more than a decade, despite a dearth of firm policies from the administration.
Spot gold may temporarily hover above a support at $1,232 per ounce and then bounce towards a resistance at $1,241 before falling again, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

A correction in gold, however, is likely to be shallow as investors remained friendly to bullion as a hedge against global uncertainty and rising inflation, analysts said.
ABN Amro lifted its year-end 2017 gold price forecast by $200 to $1,300 on Thursday and said prices would likely consolidate until turning higher later in the year.

Commerzbank said any setbacks to prices should be limited and short-lived due to uncertainty over Trump’s policies and European elections. The bank revised its first half 2017 gold price forecast upwards to $1,250 per ounce while confirming its year-end forecast at $1,300 per ounce.
Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.21 per cent to 845.32 tonnes on Thursday from Wednesday.

Spot silver held firm at $17.78, after falling 3.5 per cent to hit a 3-week low of $17.64 on Thursday. The metal had its worst one-day fall since Dec 15. It is on track to end the week down 3 per cent, its worst since December.
Platinum was steady at $986.40, after it fell 3 per cent in the previous session to hit one-month lows of $978.75.
Palladium rose 0.1 per cent to $768.


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