Precious Metals under pressure on tempered rate cut bets

Fundamental News and Triggers

  • The stronger US consumer inflation data caused investors to drop expectations on the Federal Reserve’s early rate cuts, underpinning the US Dollar and curbing the upside for the gold price.
  • Fed funds futures have priced out a rate drop in March and expect a roughly 80 percent chance of easing at the June meeting, as well as three 25 basis point rate decreases by the end of the year, compared to five two weeks ago.
  • Meanwhile, negotiations between Israel and Hamas in Gaza have restarted as the former confronts international pressure to end its bombing of Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza Strip.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold prices are trading on the lower edge of the range around $2000 (Rs 61400), if prices break this range, immediate support would be $1980 (Rs 61000).
  • Silver too is trading near important support of $22 (Rs 69300), if prices break this support, the next level to look for is $21.4 (Rs 67500).
  • Gold and Silver prices are trading in a very oversold zone, so we can expect a rebound and reversal too at current levels.

Support and Resistance

 

 

 

Disclaimer: This report contains the author’s opinion, which is not to be construed as investment advice. The author, Directors, and other employees of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The opinions mentioned above are based on information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors other employees and any affiliates of Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Augmont Enterprise Private Ltd. that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purposes and are not to be construed as investment advice.

Share on