Fundamental News and Triggers
- Due to trade policy uncertainties, silver has hit a 14-year high on global markets and a lifetime high on domestic markets, with a breakout trading above $37.5 (~Rs 110,000). In the face of growing trade tensions, demand for safe-haven assets drove gold’s price up to about $3340 (~Rs 97000).
- President Donald Trump indicated plans to impose blanket tariffs of 15–20% on the majority of foreign trading partners and declared a 35% tariff on Canadian goods beginning August 1. Additionally, President Trump announced this week in a letter to Brazil that the nation will be subject to a 50% duty on commodities imported into the United States.
- Concerns about longer-term inflation expectations were also aroused by Trump’s demand for a 300 basis point reduction in the Fed funds rate, which stoked rumours of a dovish Fed nominee the following year. Markets have priced in two rate cuts this year, but rate futures indicate that a hold is likely to be agreed upon at the next meeting.
Technical Triggers
- Gold continues to trade in the range of $3300 (~Rs 96250) and $3400 (~Rs 98500). If prices sustain below $3280 (~Rs 96000), weakness could further extend to $3200 (~Rs 94000).
- Silver has given a breakout of its range of $37.5 (~Rs 108,500) and $35.5 (~Rs 105,000). The next target is $38 (~Rs 111,000) and $40 (~Rs 115,000).
Support and Resistance
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